Abstract

This paper presents an integrated approach for scheduling and forecasting oil and gas production by integrating models of the entire value chain, from the reservoirs to the sales points. The methodology ensures maximum oil production at each time step of the reservoir simulator while honoring all operational constraints of the system. The proposed method is applied to a small North Sea offshore field consisting of two oil reservoirs with API gravities of 37 and 39. 3 gas-lifted wells are producing in each reservoir. They are arranged in a production network connected to a surface process. Control variables include individual well choke opening (early stage) and gas lift injection rate (later stage). The system is subject to numerous operational constraints (e.g., maximum field liquid production, maximum gas lift injection rate). The proposed solution is built in a commercial IAM platform that connects the models and orchestrates the software execution and optimization. The optimization problem is formulated as a Mixed Integer Linear Program. The well and flowline performance curves are approximated with piecewise linear functions. Results show that such an integrated approach can significantly affect the production profile (up to 15% difference against traditional “silo” approach). The proposed integrated solution is two-to-three times faster than traditional non-linear optimization methods, guarantees convergence towards the global maximum and it represents with an appropriate level of accuracy the original black-box model. This allows to run a lot of different scenarios making it a suitable tool for field development and planning optimization. The proposed method is used to optimize the field design and schedule. Optimal surface capacities are determined by brute force exploration of net present value function.

Highlights

  • The forecasting of oil and gas production rates is a critical activity typically performed during the field development stage and when the field is already producing

  • In the field development phase, revenue streams are calculated from the hydrocarbon production rates and are further used in economic evaluations [e.g., net present value (NPV)] of relevant development alternatives (Jahn et al 2008)

  • When coupled with a reservoir simulation, additional constraints appear with runtime and stability, the network optimization being run at each time step with different reservoir conditions

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Summary

Introduction

The forecasting of oil and gas production rates is a critical activity typically performed during the field development stage and when the field is already producing. Keywords Production forecast · Field development and planning · Artificial lift · Optimization · Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) The use of integrated models (i.e., reservoir, wells, network, and facilities) is an alternative to obtain more realistic production profiles.

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