Abstract
Abstract This paper presents a new approach to optimal long-range generation planning. A completely new analytical approach to the production costing model and reliability measure is developed under the assumption of a Gaussian probability distribution for the random load fluctuations and plant outages. The long-range generation investment problem is formulated as an optimal control problem to determine optimally the annual investment in new generation capacity. The Hamiltonian minimization is performed by using a version of the gradient projection method.
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