Abstract

Abstract To reduce the impact of high wind power penetration rate on integrated energy systems, a wind power scenario generation method based on polynomial regression is proposed and an optimization scheduling model is constructed accordingly. First, a probability distribution model for wind power is constructed. Then, scenario generation is performed through Latin hypercube sampling and typical scenarios are obtained using the synchronous back propagation elimination method. Finally, the optimal output of each piece of equipment in the system is obtained with the lowest overall cost as the optimization objective. The simulation results validate the effectiveness and low-carbon nature of this method, while reducing costs.

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