Optimal operation of the dam reservoir in real time based on generalized structure of group method of data handling and optimization technique

Abstract

The historical data on water intake into the reservoir is collected and used within the framework of a deterministic optimization method to determine the best operating parameters for the dam. The principles that have been used to extract the best values of the flow release from the dam may no longer be accurate in the coming years when the inflow to dams will be changing, and the results will differ greatly from what was predicted. This represents this method’s main drawback. The objective of this study is to provide a framework that can be used to guarantee that the dam is running as efficiently as possible in real time. Because of the way this structure is created, if the dam’s inflows change in the future, the optimization process does not need to be repeated. In this case, deep learning techniques may be used to restore the ideal values of the dam’s outflow in the shortest amount of time. This is achieved by accounting for the environment’s changing conditions. The water evaluation and planning system simulator model and the MOPSO multi-objective algorithm are combined in this study to derive the reservoir’s optimal flow release parameters. The most effective flow discharge will be made feasible as a result. The generalized structure of the group method of data handling (GSGMDH), which is predicated on the results of the MOPSO algorithm, is then used to build a new model. This model determines the downstream needs and ideal release values from the reservoir in real time by accounting for specific reservoir water budget factors, such as inflows and storage changes in the reservoir. Next, a comparison is drawn between this model’s performance and other machine learning techniques, such as ORELM and SAELM, among others. The results indicate that, when compared to the ORELM and SAELM models, the GSGMDH model performs best in the test stage when the RMSE, NRMSE, NASH, and R evaluation indices are taken into account. These indices have values of 1.08, 0.088, 0.969, and 0.972, in that order. It is therefore offered as the best model for figuring out the largest dam rule curve pattern in real time. The structure developed in this study can quickly provide the best operating rules in accordance with the new inflows to the dam by using the GSGMDH model. This is done in a way that makes it possible to manage the system optimally in real time.