Abstract

Recent research has started to apply environmental dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (E-DSGE) models for climate policy analysis. However, all of the studies assume a closed economy setting, where there is no interaction of the economy with an outside economy; this paper fills the gap by constructing a two-city E-DSGE model that features labor migration. With the model, we solve for the optimal environmental tax rate determined by a Ramsey social planner, who maximizes household utility and takes into account the policy’s impact on labor migration. We find the following. (i) The optimal environmental tax rate should be more volatile and procyclical than the rates predicted in the aforementioned literature. (ii) In the closed economy setting, a higher environmental tax rate would always dampen production, while in our setting, it could stimulate output through deterring labor outflow and attracting labor inflow. (iii) We complement the existing literature by emphasizing that the optimal environmental tax rate in a city should respond not only to the shocks that occur internally, but also to those that occur in the opponent city. In particular, we find that it is optimal to reduce the environmental tax rate if a positive total factor productivity (TFP) shock occurs in the neighbor city.

Highlights

  • An elevated air pollution level has been one of the most serious problems for many of the developing countries, such as China and India

  • We extend the model of Annicchiarico and Di Dio [12] to a two-city environmental dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (E-DSGE) model, so as to clarify the underlying mechanism of how air pollutant emission and migration are related, and the corresponding macroeconomic consequences

  • Since the existing literature on environmental policy analysis ignores the impact of climate policy on labor flows, this paper fills the gap by solving the optimal environmental tax rate with consideration of labor migration

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Summary

Introduction

An elevated air pollution level has been one of the most serious problems for many of the developing countries, such as China and India. Keeping other economic factors constant, a higher air pollutant emission level increases the labor disutility of working in the city, forces local worker to move out, and reduces the number of foreign workers that move in. Such an effect would reduce aggregate labor supply, which in turn would drive up the wage rate and deteriorate output. The Ramsey social planner would find it optimal to reduce the environmental tax rate if a positive TFP shock occurs in the opponent city This strategy aims at preventing local workers from moving to the other city.

Literature Review
E-DSGE Models
The Impact of Environmental Quality on Migration
Carbon Leakage
Nominal Rigidity
Public Sector and Nominal Interest Rate
Equilibrium
Mitigation
Choice of Parameters
The Impact of Emission Level on Migration
Total Factor Productivity
Environmental Taxation
Short-Run Analysis
Abatement Inefficiency Shocks
Findings
Conclusions and Extension

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