Abstract

The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) has been proposed as an alternative serologic diagnostic test to the indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) for scrub typhus. Here, we systematically determine the optimal sample dilution and cutoff optical density (OD) and estimate the accuracy of IgM ELISA using Bayesian latent class models (LCMs). Data from 135 patients with undifferentiated fever were reevaluated using Bayesian LCMs. Every patient was evaluated for the presence of an eschar and tested with a blood culture for Orientia tsutsugamushi, three different PCR assays, and an IgM IFA. The IgM ELISA was performed for every sample at sample dilutions from 1:100 to 1:102,400 using crude whole-cell antigens of the Karp, Kato, and Gilliam strains of O. tsutsugamushi developed by the Naval Medical Research Center. We used Bayesian LCMs to generate unbiased receiver operating characteristic curves and found that the sample dilution of 1:400 was optimal for the IgM ELISA. With the optimal cutoff OD of 1.474 at a sample dilution of 1:400, the IgM ELISA had a sensitivity of 85.7% (95% credible interval [CrI], 77.4% to 86.7%) and a specificity of 98.1% (95% CrI, 97.2% to 100%) using paired samples. For the ELISA, the OD could be determined objectively and quickly, in contrast to the reading of IFA slides, which was both subjective and labor-intensive. The IgM ELISA for scrub typhus has high diagnostic accuracy and is less subjective than the IgM IFA. We suggest that the IgM ELISA may be used as an alternative reference test to the IgM IFA for the serological diagnosis of scrub typhus.

Highlights

  • The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) has been proposed as an alternative serologic diagnostic test to the indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) for scrub typhus

  • Using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to evaluate the performance of IgM ELISA with the admission sample alone, we found that the recommended cutoff optical density (OD) ranged from 1.854 to 0.028, decreasing with increasing dilution

  • We evaluated the robustness of the cutoff OD of 1.474 at a sample dilution of 1:400 and showed that the IgM ELISA had a naive sensitivity of 69.0% (20/29) using paired samples in patients with a firm diagnosis of scrub typhus made using other diagnostic tests (Table 3)

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Summary

Introduction

The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) has been proposed as an alternative serologic diagnostic test to the indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) for scrub typhus. We systematically determine the optimal sample dilution and cutoff optical density (OD) and estimate the accuracy of IgM ELISA using Bayesian latent class models (LCMs). Use of ELISA for acute scrub typhus diagnosis has been previously evaluated [11, 12]; its optimal sample dilution and cutoff optical density (OD) have not been determined. We used Bayesian LCMs and blood samples collected from our previously published prospective study [18] to systematically determine the optimal sample dilution and optimal cutoff OD and to examine the accuracy of the Naval Medical Research Center (NMRC) “in-house” scrub typhus IgM ELISA

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