Abstract

The relationship between the energy-food-water nexus and the climate is non-linear, multi-sectoral and time sensitive, incorporating aspects of complexity and risk in climate related decision-making. Current methods of analysis were not built to represent such a complex system and are insufficiently equipped to capture and understand positive and negative externalities generated by the interactions among different stakeholders involved in the energy-food-water nexus. Potential amplification effects, time delays and path dependency of climate policies are also inadequately represented. This paper seeks to explore how knowledge co-production can help identify opportunities for building more effective, sustainable, inclusive and legitimate decision making processes on climate change. This would enable more resilient responses to climate risks impacting the nexus while increasing transparency, communication and trust among key actors. We do so by proposing the operationalization of an interdisciplinary approach of analysis applying the novel methodology developed in Howarth and Monasterolo (2016). Through a bottom-up, participative approach, we present results of five themed workshops organized in the UK (focusing on: shocks and hazards, infrastructure, local economy, governance and governments, finance and insurance) featuring 78 stakeholders from academia, government and industry. We present participant’s perceptions of opportunities that can emerge from climate and weather shocks across the energy-food-water nexus. We explore opportunities offered by the development and deployment of a transdisciplinary approach of analysis within the nexus boundaries and we analyse their implications. Our analysis contributes to the current debate on how to shape global and local responses to climate change by reflecting on lessons learnt and best practice from cross-stakeholder and cross-sectorial engagement. In so doing, it helps inform a new generation of complex systems models to analyse climate change impact on the food-water-energy nexus

Highlights

  • The relationship between the energy-food-water nexus and the climate is non-linear, multi-sectoral and time sensitive, incorporating aspects of complexity and risk in climate related decision-making

  • The following codes are used to identify the source of discussion: PSH: Predicting shocks and hazards; I: Infrastructure; LE: Local economy; FI: Finance and insurance; GG: Governance and governments

  • Context is an important component to consider in decision-making processes when these are further complicated by their unpredictable, interdisciplinary nature and bring together at times conflicting interests of stakeholders

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Summary

Introduction

The relationship between the energy-food-water nexus and the climate is non-linear, multi-sectoral and time sensitive, incorporating aspects of complexity and risk in climate related decision-making. Assessments of the science of the impact of anthropogenic climate change on ecosystems and human societies (IPCC, 2014) demonstrate that these will be mixed and evolve in nature, affecting commodities and limited resources that are fundamental for current and future generations It remains unclear how the introduction of climate policies (e.g. global carbon tax, or phasing out fossil fuel subsidies) could impact the multiple actors that span the food-energy-water nexus. In addition to consisting of a network of relationships between energy, water and food systems and the complexities that characterise them, the nexus requires an understanding of ‘soft’ factors which are difficult to measure but are key in delivering and supporting decisionmaking (Howarth and Monasterolo, 2016) These factors include, but are not limited to human values and perceptions, natural and technical processes related to systems considered, and the role of time in the interactions among different sectors (past and future)

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