Abstract
Automated driving has attracted intense attention in the media and among the general public, based on extremely optimistic predictions from some industry participants, but these have started to become more realistic in the last couple of years, after the “hype cycle” for automation peaked. This paper explains the opportunities for Automated Driving System (ADS) technology to improve the urban transport of people and goods, together with the challenges that will limit the scope and timing of the deployment of urban ADS. The discussion emphasizes the diversity of ADS applications and services, each of which has its own opportunities, challenges, and uncertainties, leading to diverse deployment scopes and schedules. The associated challenges are sufficiently daunting that ADS deployment will lag behind electrification and connectivity, leaving more time for cities to prepare for it.
Highlights
Background on Urban Transport AutomationOpportunities, Challenges, andUrban transport has long been a messy business
This paper aims to balance the discussion by focusing on the specific realworld transportation applications that could be automated and on the technical challenges and uncertainties that will limit the breadth and timing of the deployment of Automated Driving System (ADS)
By the time it has matured to the level that it will be technically and economically viable for application to the vehicle mass market of many millions of vehicles, those vehicles will have already been electrified and equipped with connectivity
Summary
Urban transport has long been a messy business. Two centuries ago, when cities were significantly smaller than they are today, urban transport was based on human and animal propulsion, with significant adverse environmental implications from the resulting animal-waste products. By the dawn of the 20th century, these were augmented with electrically propelled rail systems and a few self-propelled vehicles using steam engines and internal combustion engines. By 1940, the concepts were already defined and formulated for shifting the driving tasks to an automated driving system, as embodied in the General Motors “Futurama”. The initial motivation for automating driving was the comfort and convenience of the user, opportunities for improving traffic flow smoothness, highway capacity and efficiency, and road safety began to draw more interest
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