Abstract

An evaluation study of numerical operational storm surge prediction schemes for the North Sea began in November 1981. Each scheme consists of an atmospheric and a hydrodynamical model. For the following 6 month period, scheme surge predictions, harmonic tidal predictions and observed water levels were collected at 6 h intervals. This paper gives a description of these schemes and discusses their differences. Some preliminary results of the evaluation, as assessed at a workshop at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) in May 1981, are presented.

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