Abstract
AbstractSeasonal water supply forecasts are a critical component of regional water resources management planning. Across the United States, multiple modeling tools and operational protocols have ev...
Highlights
Seasonal water supply forecasts are a critical component of robust regional water resources management planning (Jackson et al 2001; Chiew et al 2003)
The analysis period includes several noteworthy years, among them 2010, which was characterized by very low net basin supply (NBS), and 2013, 2014, and 2017, which were characterized by very high NBS
The analysis offers an opportunity to provide analysis-based recommendations to address some of the challenges described in the introduction, setting the stage for future improvements to the USACE water level forecasting protocol
Summary
Seasonal water supply forecasts are a critical component of robust regional water resources management planning (Jackson et al 2001; Chiew et al 2003). In the Mountain West, for example, there is a long history of forecasting seasonal water supplies through empirical models based on spring snow-water equivalent (Wood and Lettenmaier 2006; Pagano et al 2009). The range of water supply forecasting protocols and systems is further amplified by the diversity in forecasting environments, ranging from those that are research-oriented to those that are fully operational. These forecasting environments, understandably, are designed to meet widely varying regulatory, ecological, and economic criteria
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