Abstract

To enhance the operational safety of civil aviation, based on the data of civil aviation unsafe incidents on 2006-2015, the assessment index was constructed with typical accident and incident events, and the operational safety risk assessment model based on grey whitening clustering was proposed in this paper. Then the weight of each index is determined by the principle of maximizing deviation. Finally, the safety risk in these 10 years was evaluated by actual operation data. According to the result, it was consistent with the actual operation of civil aviation, which verified the rationality of the safety risk assessment indexes taking into account of the typical accidents and incidents. It had changed the traditional safety assessment index and methods of civil aviation based on people, machines, environment and administration, which had positive significance to improve the safety production capacity of civil aviation.

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