Abstract

With the new round of power industry reform in China, the Power Market Management Committee (PMMC) came into being as an autonomous deliberation and coordination body. PMMC plays a bridge role in power market operation, but its operating mechanism is still in the exploratory stage. Research on how to effectively play the functional role in the power market and avoid the effectiveness of the risk is still blank. In order to scientifically identify and evaluate the operational risks of the PMMC and provide guidance and reference for its operation in the electricity market, the article focuses on its responsibilities and procedures, and benchmarks with similar institutions at home and abroad. The traditional FMEA method is applied to analyze the potential risk causes and consequences of PMMC operation, and nine potential risk factors are extracted, then the initial weights of the risk factors were determined by combining the subjective and objective weighting methods with the intuitionistic fuzzy set FMEA method, then the TOPSIS-GRPM method is used to calculate the gray correlation projection closeness, and the final weight of the risk factor is determined. From the evaluation results, it can be seen that the risk of members' composition, professional ability and authority and responsibility allocation are of high level, and need to be focused on prevention and control. Finally, effective measures to avoid and prevent PMMC are put forward to provide reference for the safe and efficient operation of PMMC in China.

Highlights

  • The construction of China's electricity market is constantly advancing

  • The comprehensive weighting method combined with expert evaluation method and deviation maximization model method is applied to calculate the weights, which can overcome the shortcomings of traditional Failure Modes and Effect Analysis (FMEA) method that does not consider the weights of risk factors

  • The comprehensive weights of risk factors are obtained by intuitionistic fuzzy FMEA method, and the TOPSIS-GRPM method is used to rank the risks

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Summary

Introduction

The construction of China's electricity market is constantly advancing. In the Opinions on the Establishment and Standardized Operation of Electric Power Trading Institutions issued in 2015, the state clearly pointed out that the power market management committee composed of power grid enterprises, power generation enterprises, power selling enterprises, power users and so on should be established [1]. From the operation practice of international mature electricity market, there are market management, recommendation committees or similar functions in each country or region market, and they play an important role in the normal operation of electricity market Such institutions are usually composed of various market members, dispatching agencies, government departments and so on. 97 Jun Dong et al.: Operational Risk Identification of Electric Power Market Management Committee Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy FMEA and TOPSIS-GRPM Methods the operational risk of PMMC. The paper obtains PMMC's operational risk index system from two aspects of operation and personnel and organizational structure through FMEA analysis It uses intuitionistic fuzzy FMEA method and TOPSIS-GRPM method to analyze PMMC's operational risk systematically, determine the importance of risk index, and puts forward effective evasion and preventive measures

Establishment of PMMC Operational Risk Analysis Model
Risk Recognition and Intuitionistic Fuzzy Assessment
Modeling of Units in Virtual Power Plants
Identify PMMC Operating Risks
PMMC Operational Risk Assessment
E2 E3 E4 E5 E1 E2 E3 E4 E5
Conclusion
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