Abstract

Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.

Highlights

  • Citation style for this article: Sjödin Henrik, Wilder-Smith Annelies, Osman Sarah, Farooq Zia, Rocklöv Joacim

  • The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question

  • We show that very high adherence to community quarantine and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a lockeddown town

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Summary

Rapid communication

Strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020. Henrik Sjödin , Annelies Wilder-Smith2,3,4 , Sarah Osman , Zia Farooq , Joacim Rocklöv. 1. Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden. 3. Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Citation style for this article: Sjödin Henrik , Wilder-Smith Annelies , Osman Sarah , Farooq Zia , Rocklöv Joacim. Strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a lockeddown town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed

European epicentre
Stochastic individual based processes
Incubation period in days
Quarantine scenarios
Duration of the quarantine
Discussion
Latent cases on
Quarantine in the wider context
Findings
Conflict of interest
Full Text
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