Abstract

Model order selection for linear time-invariant (LTI) systems is an important system modeling concern and has been widely investigated through past decades. Different approaches of order selection such as Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC), minimum description length (MDL) and reconstruction error LTI system identification (RE-LTI) propose different criteria to select the optimum order of a system. In many real life applications of model order selection the size of an observed data set is increasing. Thus, order selection methods need to adopt the best fit of a model as the data set size is increasing. This is our motivation to extend RE-LTI order selection for online application of order selection with lower computational cost and complexity. It has been shown previously that AIC, BIC, two-stage MDL and many existing order selection criteria are special cases of RE-LTI method. Our online order selection approach reduces the computational complexity of the offline approach from O(N3) to O(N2). It should be noted that RE-LTI and MNDL order selection methods have same fundamentals and consequently extending RE-LTI to online RE-LTI also extends MNDL to online MNDL. Another crucial issue in system identification and modeling is estimating the time delay of a system’s impulse response (or determining the start of its non-zero part). This problem is addressed in various areas including radar, sonar, acoustic source tracking, multipath channel identification, as well as many automatic control applications. Utilizing fundamentals of RE-LTI approach, here we introduce a new time-delay estimator. Simulation results show advantages of the proposed method and its superiority to existing approaches in accuracy and robustness in terms of the FIT index.

Highlights

  • System modeling and identification is an important subject with various applications [3], [4]

  • Since the optimum order, m, in online procedure is chosen based on the upper bound of reconstruction error 3.19, the complexity order of our online procedure is O(N 2) which shows one order decrease compared with the offline Reconstruction Error (RE)-linear time-invariant (LTI) order selection algorithm

  • It must be noted that this method looks for the time delay which results in the best fit of the true model in the presence of the noise

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Summary

Transfer function model of an interconnected two-area Hydro-Nuclear system [41] 38 viii ix

ASdm : An N × m Toeplitz matrix generated by the input d: Optimum estimated time delay d: True time delay y[n] : Noiseless data y[n] : Noisy data y[n] : Data estimate u[n] : Input data w[n] : i.i.d. white Gaussian noise σw : Noise standard deviation m : Optimum subspace order m: Subspace order ai : . 2: Real-valued coefficients of the system’s impulse response L2 norm θSM : Parameter estimate of order M θ: True parameter zSm : Reconstruction error xSm : Data error

Introduction
Thesis Contributions
System Identification
Order Selection
Reconstruction Error (RE)
Time Delay Estimation (TDE)
Chapter 3 Online RE- LTI Order Selection
Online Parameter Estimation θSm(N + 1)
Online RE-LTI Order Selection Procedure
Complexity Order of Online RE-LTI Order Selection Procedure
Online RE-LTI System Identification and Slowly Varying Systems
Simulation Results
Practical Application in Power System
Power System Simulation Results
Chapter 4 Optimal Time Delay Estimation
RE Time-Delay Estimation
Estimation of Model Parameters in Subspaces of m
Comparison between Proposed and Existing Methods
Conclusions and Future Works
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