One-stop clinic for assessment of risk for trisomy 21 at 11-14 weeks: a prospective study of 15 030 pregnancies.

Abstract

To evaluate the performance of a one-stop clinic for assessment of risk (OSCAR) for trisomy 21 by a combination of maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency (NT) thickness and maternal serum free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) at 11-14 weeks of gestation. Screening for trisomy 21 was carried out by OSCAR in 15 030 singleton pregnancies with live fetuses at 11-14 weeks. The estimated risk for trisomy 21 was calculated, and the women were counseled regarding this risk and the option of invasive testing or expectant management. Follow-up of the outcome of all pregnancies was carried out. The detection and false-positive rates for different risk cut-offs were calculated. Fetal NT and maternal serum free beta-hCG and PAPP-A were successfully measured in all cases. Pregnancy outcome, including karyotype results or the birth of a phenotypically normal baby, was obtained from 14 383 cases. The median maternal age of these cases was 34 (range 15-49) years and in 6768 (47.1%) the age was 35 years or greater. The median gestation at screening was 12 (range 11-14) weeks and the median fetal crown-rump length was 64 (range 45-84) mm. The estimated risk for trisomy 21 based on maternal age, fetal NT and maternal serum free beta-hCG and PAPP-A was 1 in 300 or greater in 6.8% (967 of 14 240) normal pregnancies, in 91.5% (75 of 82) of those with trisomy 21 and in 88.5% (54 of 61) of those with other chromosomal defects. For a fixed false-positive rate of 5% the respective detection rates of screening for trisomy 21 by maternal age alone, maternal age and serum free beta-hCG and PAPP-A, maternal age and fetal NT, and by maternal age, fetal NT and maternal serum biochemistry were 30.5%, 59.8%, 79.3% and 90.2%, respectively. Screening for trisomy 21 by a combination of maternal age, fetal NT and maternal serum biochemistry at 11-14 weeks can be provided in an OSCAR setting and is associated with a detection rate of about 90% for a false-positive rate of 5%.