One-year risk of all-cause death and major cardiovascular events in patients presenting with hypertensive crisis. A report from a global federated research health network

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Abstract Background Few data are available about the clinical course of patients presenting with hypertensive crisis who are discharged alive from hospital. Purpose To assess the long-term risk of adverse events in patients with hypertensive crises. Methods Retrospective study utilizing a research health network. Based on the ICD-10-CM codes recorded between 2000 and 2022, from 85 health care associations mainly located in the United States, patients with hypertensive crisis were subdivided into hypertensive urgencies (I16.0) and hypertensive emergencies (I16.1). In those with hypertensive emergencies, the type of target organ damage was reported, ie. central nervous system (ischemic stroke, hypertensive encephalopathy, intracerebral hemorrhages), cardiovascular (CVS: myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), aorta dissection (AD)), or renal (acute kidney failure). Primary outcomes were the one-year risks of all-cause death, and major cardiovascular events (MACE: MI, stroke, cardiac arrest, AD, and HF). Secondary outcomes were the risks for each type of MACE. Cox regression analysis after propensity score matching (PSM) 1:1 was used to produce hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CIs). Results Overall, we identified 25 294 patients with hypertensive emergency (age 62.4±15.7, 46.1% females) and 21,737 patients with hypertensive urgency (age 63.5±17.2, 55.5% females). Patients with hypertensive emergency were more likely males, Black or African American origin and showed a higher prevalence of chronic hypertensive-related complications, vs. those with hypertensive urgency. After PSM, patients with hypertensive emergency showed a higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 1.34, 95%CI 1.25-1.44) and MACE (HR 4.09, 95%CI 3.87-4.33), vs. those with hypertensive urgency. Of the secondary outcomes, patients with hypertensive emergency had increased risks of MI (HR 3.33, 95%CI 3.03-3.67), stroke (HR 4.73, 95%CI 4.33-5.17), cardiac arrest (HR 1.30, 95%CI 1.07-1.58), AD (HR 5.49, 95%CI 3.90-7.73), and HF (HR 3.01, 95%CI 2.74-3.14). All the different types of organ involvement during the hypertensive emergency were each associated with similar long-term risks of adverse events (Figure 1). Conclusion Patients with hypertensive emergency have a high long-term risk of MACE and all-cause death. Preventing the onset of target organ damage in patients with hypertensive crisis is crucial to mitigate their long-term risk of adverse events.