Abstract

The aim of this paper is to present one case of probabilistic formalization of our intuitive notion of coherence. To that end, we will have to provide answers for the questions, what are all relevant relations between beliefs, as far as coherence is concerned, and of course, what is intuitive coherence. After we settle those questions, we will try to show how, by applying certain probabilsitic theories of confirmation to those relations, we can arrive at a basic probabilistic theory of coherence. We will point out certain problems of that theory. At the end of the paper, we will sum up the differences between intuitive and probabilistic coherence, and we will try to provide reasons why the successful formalization of this relation, should be a desired result in epistemology.

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