Abstract

Non-independent interactions among predators can have important consequences for the structure and dynamics of ecological communities by enhancing or reducing prey mortality rate through, e.g., predator facilitation or interference. The multiplicative risk model, traditionally used to detect these emergent multiple predator effects (MPEs), is biased because it assumes linear functional response (FR) and no prey depletion. To rectify these biases, two approaches based on FR modelling have recently been proposed: the direct FR approach and the population-dynamic approach. Here we compare the strengths, limitations and predictions of the three approaches using simulated data sets. We found that the predictions of the direct FR and the multiplicative risk models are very similar and underestimate predation rates when prey density is high or prey depletion is substantial. As a consequence, these two approaches often fail in detecting risk reduction. Finally, parameters estimated with the direct FR approach lack mechanistic interpretation, which limits the understanding of the mechanisms driving multiple predator interactions and potential extension of this approach to more complex food webs. We thus strongly recommend using the population-dynamic approach because it is robust, precise, and provides a scalable mechanistic framework to detect and quantify MPEs.

Highlights

  • Determining the factors and mechanisms influencing the distribution and strengths of species interactions is crucial to understand and predict the dynamics and stability of ecological communities[1,2,3,4,5]

  • When handling time varied and attack rate remained constant we found that, at the highest prey density and 24-hour experimental duration, predation rate underestimations by the multiplicative risk model ranged from −3 to −71 for conspecific assemblages (Fig. 2) whereas they ranged from −10 to −51 prey for heterospecific assemblages (Fig. 4)

  • We found that the predictions of the direct functional response (FR) model and the multiplicative risk model are very similar and systematically underestimate predation rates by multiple predators at higher prey densities or when prey depletion is substantial, especially when experimental trials last longer than a few hours

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Summary

Introduction

Determining the factors and mechanisms influencing the distribution and strengths of species interactions is crucial to understand and predict the dynamics and stability of ecological communities[1,2,3,4,5]. Recent studies argued against the use of the multiplicative risk model as it assumes constant prey mortality rate over the course of the experiment, which is only valid when predators have linear functional responses, when prey are continuously replenished (i.e. no prey depletion), or experimental durations are sufficiently short that depletion is inconsequential[23,24,25]. These assumptions are routinely violated in empirical studies of MPEs: functional responses of predators are nearly always a saturating function of prey density[26] and prey depletion is often non-negligible. The above limitations of the multiplicative risk model can bias results at high prey densities or when prey depletion is substantial[13,24]

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