On the Stochastic Sensitivity and Noise-Induced Transitions of a Kaldor-Type Business Cycle Model

Abstract

In the paper, we consider a Kaldor-type model of the business cycle with external additive and internal parametric disturbances. We study analytically and numerically the probability properties of stochastically forced equilibria and limit cycles via stochastic sensitivity function technique. In particular, we discuss the effects of additive and parametric noises on the economic variables and we detect some stochastic bifurcations such as a P-bifurcation, i.e a phenomenon of noise-induced transition from monostability to bistability. This stochastic bistability causes a new trigger regime in economic dynamics.