Abstract
Abstract Recent attempts to incorporate spatial heterogeneity in minimum-wage employment models have been targeted for using overly simplistic trend controls and for neglecting the potential impact of wage minima on employment growth. This paper investigates whether such considerations call into question findings of statistically insignificant employment effects reported in the literature for an archetypal low-wage sector in the United States: restaurants and bars. Understanding this relationship goes to the heart of the policy debate surrounding minimum wages and, hence, is critical to investigate carefully. Our results conclude that a focus on employment levels is appropriate for this sector and, further, that the deployment of nonlinear trend controls does not dislodge prior research which finds weak support for the existence of adverse minimum-wage employment effects on employment. JEL Classification: J23, J38
Highlights
In a critique of recent contributions to the literature on minimum wages, Neumark et al (2014) have questioned the usefulness of common approaches to controlling for spatial heterogeneity in employment equations
We address an alternative critique having a basis in the notion that minimum wage effects are more detected in employment growth than in employment levels, such that conventional controls for spatial heterogeneity may attenuate estimates of how the minimum wage affects the level of employment (Meer and West 2013)
We seek to evaluate the robustness of the results presented in ABC allowing for more flexible time trends, updating the sample period, and modeling employment changes as well as employment levels
Summary
In a critique of recent contributions to the literature on minimum wages, Neumark et al (2014) have questioned the usefulness of common approaches to controlling for spatial heterogeneity in employment equations. They suggest the exclusion of sub-periods of steep recessions in estimating state-level trends while retaining the whole sample to estimate minimum wage effects, or the use of a Hodrick-Prescott filter to detrend the data.
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