Abstract
Contact tracing has been debated as a control measure for HIV/AIDS ever since the emergence of the global HIV pandemic. In Cuba the Partner National Notification Programme has been tracing sexual contacts of known HIV-seropositive individuals since 1986. Data in 1996 have shown an increase in the number of HIV-positive contacts. To see whether this sharp increase indicates an actual increase in the HIV-positive population the number of HIV-infected individuals infected through sexual contact was estimated using the HIV seroprevalence data of the Partner Notification Programme as a seroprevalence result from a random sampling of the sexually active population in Cuba. Overall results show that in agreement with the seroprevalence data there is an increase in the number of HIV-positive individuals in the country since 1996. However the increase is consistent with the previous increase in the first half of the decade.
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