Abstract

Cochran's Q statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used in several popular estimators of the between-study variance, . Those applications generally have not considered the implications of its use of estimated variances in the inverse-variance weights. Importantly, those weights make approximating the distribution of Q (more explicitly, ) rather complicated. As an alternative, we investigate a new Q statistic, , whose constant weights use only the studies' effective sample sizes. For the standardized mean difference as the measure of effect, we study, by simulation, approximations to distributions of and , as the basis for tests of heterogeneity and for new point and interval estimators of . These include new DerSimonian-Kacker-type moment estimators based on the first moment of , and novel median-unbiased estimators. The results show that: an approximation based on an algorithm of Farebrother follows both the null and the alternative distributions of reasonably well, whereas the usual chi-squared approximation for the null distribution of and the Biggerstaff-Jackson approximation to its alternative distribution are poor; in estimating , our moment estimator based on is almost unbiased, the Mandel - Paule estimator has some negative bias in some situations, and the DerSimonian-Laird and restricted maximum likelihood estimators have considerable negative bias; and all 95% interval estimators have coverage that is too high when , but otherwise the Q-profile interval performs very well.

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