Abstract

Ioffe Physico-Technical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Politekhnicheskaya str. 26,194021 St.Petersburg, Russia e-mail: Maxim.Ogurtsov@mail.ioffe.ruAbstract. The reconstruction of sunspot numbers from the decadal radiocarbon series wasmade for the time interval 8005 B.C. - 1945 A.D using five-box carbon exchange model. Analysesshowed apparent persistency in the reconstructed Wolf number series. It indicates the existenceof long-term memory in solar activity. Nonlinear forecast of the mean value of Wolf number ismade for the next 40 years using obtained radiocarbon proxy. Comparison of the results withthe long -term forecasts of the other authors was performed.

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