ON THE ISSUE OF MODELING THE INFLUENCE OF BAUMAN’S “FLUIDITY” ON THE POLITICAL PROCESS

Abstract

The relevance of the study is determined by the need to understand the dynamics of political processes depending on demographic changes in society. Based on the theoretical foundations of Z. Bauman’s ideas about “fluid modernity” and achievements in the field of molecular dynamic modeling, the author aims to calculate the “coefficient of political viscosity” of society based on its demographic indicators. Without claiming the exclusivity and universality of the proposed model, which does not take into account other factors other than family ties between people, the author admits a high probability of deviations in the accuracy of forecasting political processes and emphasizes the limited scope of the proposed model. The methodological basis of the article is the theoretical developments of Russian and foreign researchers. The work uses general philosophical, socio-humanitarian, as well as methods from the arsenal of physical, mathematical and chemical sciences. The empirical data used in the work are taken from open sources.