Abstract
An approach is proposed to determine the value of the conditional probability of human injury at a certain point of the territory as a result of the implementation of any scenario for the development of fire-hazardous situations on gas distribution networks associated with their rupture and subsequent gas ignition. Based on the analysis of the causes and factors determining the outcomes of accidents, taking into account the peculiarities of technological processes of natural gas transportation, typical accident scenarios are identified. For each scenario, the values of the probability of occurrence of emergency situations are calculated. A method for determining the probability of finding people in the residential area of gas pipelines is proposed.
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Schedule a callMore From: IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
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