Abstract

It has been asserted in the past that any Bayesian treatment of the model selection problem in regression using some form of continuous loss structure would always lead to using the largest possible model (Leamer 1979; Chow 1981). We show in this paper that, provided the distinction between the choice of a model and the estimation of its parameters is maintained, the Kullback-Leibler information measure can be used in a Bayesian context to derive a criterion which may lead to parsimony of parameters in regression analysis.

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