On the Frequency of Drawdowns for Brownian Motion Processes

Abstract

Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focused on the side of severity by studying the first drawdown over a certain prespecified size. In this paper we extend the discussion by investigating the frequency of drawdowns and some of their inherent characteristics. We consider two types of drawdown time sequences depending on whether a historical running maximum is reset or not. For each type we study the frequency rate of drawdowns, the Laplace transform of the nth drawdown time, the distribution of the running maximum, and the value process at the nth drawdown time, as well as some other quantities of interest. Interesting relationships between these two drawdown time sequences are also established. Finally, insurance policies protecting against the risk of frequent drawdowns are also proposed and priced.