Abstract

We provide an asymptotic analysis of the small failure probabilities for a piece of elastic random material under a certain external force and boundary conditions. The displacement of the material is described by a one dimensional stochastic elliptic differential equation. The differential equation admits random coefficients described by a Gaussian process. Failure is defined as the event that the maximum strain of the material exceeds a certain level. We derive asymptotic approximations of the probability that the strain exceeds a high level b that tends to infinity.

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