On the Dynamics of Dynamic Demand Models

Abstract

Although dynamic models are now an important part of applied demand analysis, some of their fundamental concepts still suffer from a substantial lack of clarity. A particular case in point is the distinction between stock adjustment and habit formation in the Houthakker-Taylor model (1970). Empirical considerations prompted Houthakker and Taylor to specify a single state variable for each good and then to conclude that a good is habit forming or stock adjusting depending on the state variable's sign. However, besides having an obvious drawback of being ex post, this procedure is subject to the further criticism that, by treating expenditures for nondurables and services in the same way as expenditures for durables, it implicitly views habit formation and stock adjustment as arising from symmetrical processes. This is unfortunate, for stock adjustment and habit formation reflect intrinsically different phenomena, and to elaborate upon this, without the constraints imposed by thoughts of immediate empirical application, is one of the primary purposes of this paper.