Abstract

Energy substitution is very important for achieving environment-friendly and sustainable economic development. This paper investigates the development strategy of China's electric power substitution thoroughly and comprehensively from a systematic perspective. A model of electric power substitution strategic planning is proposed and a multi-dimensional space is established based on more than 20 kinds of indexes that influence electric power substitution. K-means algorithm is employed to seek the local optimal solution to find an optimized model in the multi-dimensional space. With our optimized mode, the electric power substitution situation of the provinces are divided into four major zones (capturing area, breakthrough area, gradual area, and gas and electric complementary rea). The result may provide an effective support for formulating the strategic development of electric power substitute and strategy implementation in the future.

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