Abstract
We present strong evidence against the excess‐comovement hypothesis—that the prices of commodities move together beyond what can be explained by fundamentals. Prior studies employ broad macroeconomic indicators to explain common price movements, and potentially correlated fundamentals are not controlled for. We use inventory and harvest data to fit a partial equilibrium model that more effectively captures the variation in individual prices. The model explains the majority of the comovements among commodities with high price correlation, and all of the comovements among those with marginal price correlation. Common movements in supply factors appear to play an important role in the observed comovements in commodity prices.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Free) 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call
