Abstract

We consider the estimation problem for an unknown vector β ź Rp in a linear model Y = Xβ + źź, where ź ź Rn is a standard discrete white Gaussian noise and X is a known n × p matrix with n ź p. It is assumed that p is large and X is an ill-conditioned matrix. To estimate β in this situation, we use a family of spectral regularizations of the maximum likelihood method βź(Y) = Hź(XTX) βź(Y), ź ź R+, where βź(Y) is the maximum likelihood estimate for β and {Hź(·): R+ ź [0, 1], ź ź R+} is a given ordered family of functions indexed by a regularization parameter ź. The final estimate for β is constructed as a convex combination (in ź) of the estimates βź(Y) with weights chosen based on the observations Y. We present inequalities for large deviations of the norm of the prediction error of this method.

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