Abstract

SUMMARY We extend the prequential approach introduced by A. P. Dawid to continuous time marked point processes. A prequential forecasting system is expressed by means of the stochastic intensities of the point process. The exact independence and 1-exponentiality of the derived compensators are used to assess the predictive performance of the model and the inferential procedure.

Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call