Abstract

The article proposes to estimate variants of R&D plan (alternatives) by a set of values of increments of decision main goal achievement degree in the given time interval, these increments being stipulated by the alternative chosen. The alternatives are terminal vertices of the graph of a chain type. The graph describes hierarchy constructed by experts by means of main goal decomposition. Goals and alternatives are described by functions of achievement degree and also by time dependent coefficients of influence upon direct supergoals achievement. Goals of many types are applicable. Alternatives estimates are calculated by the method of goals hierarchy simulation.

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