On multi-step estimation of delay for SDE

Abstract

We consider the problem of delay estimation by the observations of the solutions of several SDEs. It is known that the MLEs for these models are consistent and asymptotically normal, but the likelihood ratio functions are not differentiable w.r.t. the parameter, and therefore the numerical calculation of the MLEs encounter certain difficulties. We propose One-step and Two-step MLEs, whose calculation has no such problems and provide an estimator asymptotically equivalent to the MLE. These constructions are realized in two or three steps. First, we construct preliminary estimators which are consistent and asymptotically normal, but not asymptotically efficient. Then we use these estimators and a modified Fisher-score device to obtain One-step and Two-step MLEs. We suppose that its numerical realization is much more simple. Stochastic Pantograph equation is introduced and related statistical problems are discussed.