On long-term modulation of the Sun's magnetic cycle

Abstract

We utilize reconstructions based on cosmogenic radionuclides as well as direct observations of solar magnetic activity, to argue that the solar dynamo has operated similarly to the present day for at least the past 10 000 yr. The persistence of the 87-yr Gleissberg cycle throughout supermodulation events suggests that the Hale and Schwabe cycles continue independently of the modulational mechanism for activity. We further analyse behaviour of solar activity during the Sporer and Maunder Minima. Such grand minima recur with the characteristic de Vries period of approximately 208 yr but their incidence is modulated by the Hallstatt cycle with a characteristic period of around 2300 yr.We ascribe the latter to supermodulation, caused by breaking the symmetry of the dynamo pattern. Finally, we emphasize the need for further calculations in order to determine the effects of changes in solar field morphology and symmetry on the solar wind and on cosmic ray deflection.