Abstract

Coastal flooding is projected to become more severe over the 21st century, necessitating effective adaptation, which in turn requires detailed local scale information that can only be provided by detailed numerical modelling. The current lack of information on flood protection measures and the high resource requirements of traditional hydrodynamic models presents concurrent challenges for detailed coastal flood modelling. But how comprehensive do the representation of coastal flood defences and hydrodynamic forcing need to be for adequately accurate modelling of coastal flooding? Here, we attempt to answer this question through strategic numerical simulations of the flooding that occurred at Île de Ré (France) during the Xynthia storm (2010), using the flexible mesh model Delft3D FM, with an over-land grid resolution of ~10 m. The model is validated against the flood extents observed in Île de Ré during Xynthia. We use three levels of detail in flood defence representation: a 5 m resolution DEM (i.e. base case DEM), the same 5 m DEM augmented with defences extracted from a 1 m DEM and Google Earth images (i.e. moderately augmented DEM), and the moderately augmented DEM further augmented with in-situ measurements of flood defences (i.e. highly augmented DEM). Simulations with these three DEMs are performed with and without flow-wave coupling (thus, 6 simulations in total), and results are analysed in terms of four flood indicators: maximum flood depths, flood extents, flood current velocities and flood damages. Our analysis indicates that both detailed representation of flood defences and the inclusion of waves have substantial effects on coastal flood modelling at local scale, with the former having a more pronounced effect. The return on the investment in implementing highly detailed in-situ measurements to represent flood defences appears to be low in this case, and adequately accurate results are obtained with a moderately augmented DEM. The combined effect of using the moderately augmented DEM together with waves, relative to using the base case DEM without waves, is to decrease maximum flood depths (up to 2 m), flood extent (by ~10%), maximum current velocities (in ~50% flooded area) and total flood damage (by ~27% or ~€ 188 million).

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