On Controlling for Misstatement Risk

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SUMMARY Ex ante misstatement risk confounds most settings relying on misstatements as a measure of audit quality, but researchers continue to debate how to effectively control for this construct. In this study, we consider a recent approach that involves controlling for prior period misstatements (“Lagged Misstatements”). Using a controlled simulation and a basic archival analysis, we show that a lagged misstatement control can significantly bias coefficient estimates. We demonstrate this bias using audit fees as a variable of interest but also show the same issue manifests for other measures that respond to the restatement of misstated financial statements (i.e., internal control material weaknesses and auditor changes). We conclude by discussing alternative approaches for controlling for ex ante misstatement risk and providing guidance for future research. Data Availability: All data used are publicly available from sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: M40; M41; M42.

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CitationsShowing 10 of 15 papers
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  • 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4627
The Importance of Separating the Probability of Committing and Detecting Misstatements in the Restatement Setting
  • Dec 19, 2022
  • Management Science
  • F Jane Barton + 3 more

This study demonstrates the importance of separating the probabilities of misstatement occurrence and detection when examining financial statement restatements. Despite the many benefits of examining the probability of restatements using traditional logistic models, interpretations of these models are clouded by partial observability—only subsequently detected misstatements are observable. We propose addressing this often overlooked issue by implementing a bivariate probit model with partial observability. We demonstrate the importance of separating these latent probabilities by re-examining three prior restatement studies and show the importance of separating the occurrence and detection probabilities. Our evidence suggests that future studies interested in restatements as a measure of accounting quality should consider implementing bivariate probit models as one way to address the partial observability inherent in this setting. This paper was accepted by Brian Bushee, accounting. Funding: B. P. Miller gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Sam Frumer Professorship. Supplemental Material: Data and the internet appendix are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.4627 .

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Accounting Standard Precision, Corporate Governance, and Accounting Restatements
  • Feb 27, 2018
  • SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Li Fang + 3 more

Prior research provides some evidence that strict corporate monitoring constrains financial misreporting. We examine whether the efficacy of various corporate monitoring mechanisms depends on the nature of accounting standards―rules-based standards (RBS) versus principles-based standards (PBS)―in place. We document that most features associated with tough monitoring by audit committees, boards, external auditors, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are negatively associated with the likelihood of misstatements under RBS, but not misstatements under PBS. This evidence collectively suggests that most corporate gatekeepers likely fulfill their monitoring obligations primarily through ensuring better compliance with detailed standards when the applicable standards are more specific and leave less room for discretion. In contrast, our results imply that corporate monitors may fail to effectively constrain managerial opportunism when the standards are less specific and provide wider scope for discretion. We also find that misstatement duration decreases with strict monitoring under RBS, suggesting that timely detection is a channel through which corporate monitoring deters violations of RBS. Our core evidence is robust to using exogenous shocks to certain corporate monitoring functions mandated by the Sarbanes Oxley Act and stock exchanges. Relevant to the public policy discourse, our results lend some support that there is an institutional fit between the current corporate monitoring structure and rules-oriented accounting standards, while casting doubt on whether current corporate monitoring mechanisms would function effectively in the event that the U.S. financial reporting regime moves to a more principles-based framework.

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Does audit firm hiring of former PCAOB personnel improve audit quality?
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Does audit firm hiring of former PCAOB personnel improve audit quality?

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Relative Liability Exposure for Negligence and Financial Reporting Quality: Evidence from the Audit Interference Rule
  • Jun 15, 2024
  • The Accounting Review
  • Michael A Mayberry + 2 more

ABSTRACT We examine how the shifting of legal liability between auditors and clients affects financial reporting quality. We exploit the state-level adoption and rejection of a common law doctrine, the Audit Interference Rule (AIR), which shifts legal liability between auditors and clients, while not affecting total legal liability. The likelihood of restatements declines following staggered rejections of the AIR that shift risk to clients. Path analysis indicates that audit fees increase following AIR rejections, suggesting that relatively greater liability exposure for clients leads to a greater demand for assurance services that, in turn, reduces the likelihood of restatements. We further find greater improvements in financial reporting quality following the rejections of the AIR among clients with higher litigation risk and larger clients. Broadly, we provide novel evidence that clients’ incentives relating to increased liability exposure appear to dominate auditors’ disincentives relating to decreased liability exposure on financial reporting quality. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text. JEL Classifications: K15; M41; M42.

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Board Level Co-Determination and Aggressive Reporting: Do Employees on the Board Influence Tax Aggressiveness and Earnings Management
  • Aug 24, 2019
  • SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Marc Eulerich + 1 more

This study examines whether board-level codetermination (inclusion of employee representatives on the board) reduces aggressive financial reporting, i.e. tax aggressiveness and earnings management. Consistent with prior research, we expect employees to prefer lower tax aggressiveness and less earnings management. To the extent codetermination allows for effective employee monitoring of management, we expect it to be associated with reductions in aggressive reporting. We use a unique dataset from listed German companies to identify a granular measure of board-level codetermination that allows us to better identify the mechanisms through which employees can monitor and influence firms’ decisions and outcomes. Although prior research points to the importance of audit committee member financial expertise, we find that employee representation on audit committees is the most influential codetermination mechanism associated with reduced tax aggressiveness and earnings management. We contribute to prior and current discussions of stronger employee rights and influences on management decisions from a board-level perspective.

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Confirmation Bias and Auditor Risk Assessments: Archival Evidence
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  • Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory
  • Cory A Cassell + 3 more

SUMMARY Judgment and decision-making research suggests that auditors' judgments are negatively affected by the use of heuristics. However, there is little research investigating whether such biases survive the quality control processes that regulators and audit firms implement to mitigate them. We investigate this by identifying a setting where one such bias—confirmation bias—is likely to manifest. Consistent with confirmation bias influencing observable audit outcomes, we find that auditors with previous experience auditing a client with a history of low risk followed by an increase in risk do not adequately respond to the higher level of risk. This effect is mitigated when the risk increase is likely large enough to violate auditors' reasonableness constraint and when the client is highly visible or has strong external monitors. Our study complements prior experimental research by providing archival evidence that auditors' use of heuristics has a significant effect on auditor judgments. JEL Classifications: M40; M42.

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Fool Me Once, Shame on You; Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me: The Long‐Term Impact of Arthur Andersen's Demise on Partners' Audit Quality*
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ABSTRACTAlthough recent evidence suggests that individual audit partners explain a substantial portion of the variation in audit quality proxies, much less is known about what determines an audit partner's quality. Psychology and behavioral economics theories hold that an individual's experiences can have enduring impacts on subsequent behavior. We examine whether auditors' direct exposure to Arthur Andersen's collapse has a long‐term impact on the quality of their audits. Our evidence implies that audit partners who directly experienced Andersen's demise impose stricter monitoring evident in their clients exhibiting a lower propensity for misstatements and small profits, and paying higher audit fees. Importantly, these findings reconcile with research in finance and economics implying that firsthand experiences matter more to subsequent behavior than general economic conditions or secondhand or thirdhand experiences. Collectively, the results shed light on one facet of how partners' audit quality evolves over time. Our findings suggest that major failures associated with the audit firm in which an auditor works can ultimately result in these affected individuals later delivering higher audit quality, which should benefit audit committees in partner selection decisions and audit firms in designing partner assignment policies.

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Riding the merger wave: the gatekeeping role of auditors
  • Nov 7, 2024
  • Review of Accounting Studies
  • Robert Carnes

I investigate whether auditors engage in greater monitoring of acquirers during industry merger waves. Merger waves are periods of industry transformation (i.e., disruption) that are accompanied by greater uncertainty, limited internal and external corporate monitoring, and poorer acquisition performance. These factors threaten the quality of acquirers’ financial reports. I test whether auditors respond to these periods by increasing their effort, which improves audit quality, and by resigning from high-risk engagements to reduce their portfolio risk. For in-wave audits, I find that audit fees are higher, financial statements are less likely to be materially misstated, auditors are more likely to timely identify and report internal control deficiencies, and auditor resignations are higher. Overall, these findings are consistent with auditors adapting to merger waves and providing higher-quality corporate monitoring within the scope of their influence. Importantly, this study provides insights that broaden our understanding of auditing and M&A transactions.

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Codetermination and aggressive reporting: Audit committee employee representation, tax aggressiveness, and earnings management
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Codetermination and aggressive reporting: Audit committee employee representation, tax aggressiveness, and earnings management

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<span>The Timing of Internal Control Weaknesses and Financial Reporting Quality</span>
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