Omori’s law: a note on the history of geophysics

Abstract

In the late nineteenth century, the Japanese seismologist Omori discovered the first law of earthquake physics, which states that the rate of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically with time. Over the years since then, there has been a vast amount of literature on this law, and the significance of its discovery has been universally recognized. There is, however, a profound division of opinion as to the interpretation of the law. Some argue that Omori just proposed a simple data-fitting formula and replace this formula by a power-law one with a negative fractional exponent, whereas for others the Omori law makes physical sense. The paper describes the history and essence of Omori’s discovery, with special attention paid to interpretational questions. It is shown that Omori’s original formulation of the law correlates well with the current understanding of the rock destruction mechanism at the earthquake focus.