Abstract

Data collected on the physical, biological or man-made world are often highly correlated, posing the question of whether fewer variables would contain almost as much information. A crude solution is simply to look at the Pearson correlation matrix and omit one of a pair of highly correlated variables. A more systematic method is to condition on one or more variables, and observe the resulting partial covariance matrix. If the variables have little variance after the conditioning, then the conditioning variables contain most of the information of all the original variables. Paralleling the usual tests applied in judging how many principal components are sufficient to represent all the data, we can use the amount of variance explained by the conditioning variable (s), as a measure of information content. The paper references earlier work in this area, explains the computation and includes examples using published data sets. The approach is found to be highly competitive with using principal components, and has the obvious advantage over principal components of simply omitting some of the original variables from further consideration. The method has been coded in Visual-Basic add-ins to an Excel spreadsheet.

Highlights

  • In studying physical and social phenomena, it often happens that two observed variables are highly correlated with one another

  • Though it is hardly obvious from the correlation matrix for this data, any two of the three variables contains all the information of the three variables. (X3 was calculated by X3 = 0.6X1 - 0.7 X2 + 3.0)

  • The first principal component can account for 58.72% of the variance of all three variables, and two principal components account for all the variance

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

In studying physical and social phenomena, it often happens that two observed variables are highly correlated with one another. A common approach is to use the multivariate method of principal components, or the extension of this into factor analysis This technique does not address directly the basic question of whether all the original variables yield much more information than just some sub-set of them. In this paper we present a statistical method that measures the amount of information lost by omitting one or more variables from a set of correlated observations, and thereby identifies which variables are best retained. This is primarily an ex-post analysis when we are interested in reducing the total number of variables to allow the underlying phenomena to be understood more .

PREVIOUS RESEARCH
NOTATION AND PREPARATION
SELECTING VARIABLES BASED ON PARTIAL COVARIANCE
COMPUTATION
PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS ANALYSIS
ILLUSTRATIVE RESULTS
EXTENSIONS
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