Of clockwork and catastrophes: advances in spatiotemporal dynamics of forest Lepidoptera.

Abstract

We applied a systematic global literature survey from the last 2.5 years on spatiotemporal population dynamics - broadly defined - of Lepidopteran forest pests. Articles were summarized according to domain-specific (planetary ecology - remote sensing,evolutionary ecology - genetics and genomics,and theoretical ecology - modeling) contributions to contemporary investigation of the above theme. 'Model systems' dominating our literature survey were native Choristoneura fumiferana and invasive Lymantria dispar. These systems represent opposing ends of a more general equilibrium-disequilibrium gradient, with implications for less-studied taxa. Thedynamics of Lepidopteran systems defy simple modeling approaches. Technologies and insights emerging from 'slower' science domains are informing more complex theory, including predictions of spread, impacts, or both posed by more recent invasions and the disrupting effects of climate change.