Abstract

Suruga Bay lies along the Tokai segment of the Nankai-trough, which last ruptured in the 1854 M8.4 Ansei-Tokai Earthquake, making it a potential locus for the next major earthquake on the Nankai-trough. Moderate size earthquakes have occurred in the Suruga Trough axial region (M6.5 in 2009 and M6.2 in 2011) that resulted in a prominent excitation of seismicity. Unfortunately, our ability to accurately locate these events is hampered by a sparse routine seismic observation network around the bay. In order to improve location accuracy, a total of 2 sets of 7 OBSs were deployed inside Suruga Bay, 6 from the spring of 2017, and an additional OBS from spring 2019. By combining the data from our OBS stations with that of existing land-based stations surrounding Suruga Bay, we were able to accurately relocate the observed seismic activity inside the Philippine Sea plate (PHS). Our combined processing revealed a 25° northwest-dipping 2–5 km wide zone on which the regional seismic activity occurs. Overall, seismic activity is observed to be 5–10 km shallower than previously determined from routine network data alone. A striking feature of the analyzed activity is the presence of a prominent strike-slip component in the focal mechanisms, which exhibit P-axes almost exclusively oriented towards the north. Furthermore, taking into consideration the apparent difference in the direction of the P-axis of the stress field to the calculated sense of movement of Izu peninsula by GNSS data, and the ongoing internal deformation observed by geodetic and geological data, we propose the existence of a shear zone inside the subducting PHS starting from the southern tip of Izu Peninsula and extending across the bay under Shizuoka city. This zone of strain partitioning acts as a buffer between the northward-colliding Izu Peninsula and the northwest-directed subduction of the PHS observed by GNSS.

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