Abstract

The geomorphic and ecological vulnerability of barrier islands is influenced by the way they respond to oceanographic and anthropogenic forcing over a broad range of temporal scales. Integrated models capable of simulating these processes are increasingly necessary to understand barrier island trajectories under future conditions and to aid in management decisions by evaluating the impact of potential restoration activities. While there are numerical models capable of simulating some of the dominant barrier processes, the role of beach berm evolution is rarely included despite the important function of berms in sustaining beaches, enabling dune growth via Aeolian transport, and mitigating backshore and dune erosion during storm events. This is primarily due to a lack of available data that resolves details of beach profile evolution at necessary temporal scales (e.g., seasonal, post-storm recovery, etc.) to test and develop models and the inherent difficulty of including these intra-annual processes into decadal scale models of barrier island evolution. Here we describe a unique and growing dataset of environmental forcing and barrier island topographic change. We also use the dataset to develop and test a model for barrier island evolution and quantify the role of storms, moderate wave conditions, and wind-driven transport in dictating coastal change on various timescales.

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