Abstract

ObjectiveTo detail the magnitude and specificity of the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and all-cause mortality risk. MethodsCohort studies with at least 1 year of follow-up were sought from inception until December 2021 in MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and a manual search of relevant articles. Relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs were pooled using random-effects models. Quality of the evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation tool. ResultsA total of 37 unique studies comprising of 2,258,029 participants with 108,613 all-cause mortality events were eligible. The pooled multivariable-adjusted RR for all-cause mortality comparing the top vs bottom tertiles of CRF levels was 0.55 (95% CI, 0.50 to 0.61). When CRF was expressed in metabolic equivalent task (MET) units, the corresponding pooled RR was 0.56 (95% CI, 0.50 to 0.62). For every 1-MET increase in CRF, the RR for all-cause mortality was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.92). Strength of the association did not differ by publication year, age, sex, follow-up duration, CRF assessment method, or risk of bias. ConclusionAggregate analysis of observational cohort studies confirms a strong inverse and independent association between CRF and all-cause mortality risk. The results suggest that guideline bodies should consider the inclusion of CRF in standard risk panels for mortality risk assessment.

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