Abstract

The aim of the present study was to investigate relationships between the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and obesity and weight changes in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes. At baseline (2003-05), 1187 diabetic patients aged 30-70 years were recruited to the study, with follow-up surveys completed in 2008, 2009, and 2010. Chronic kidney disease was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 ; body mass index (BMI) was categorised as normal (18.5-22.9 kg/m2 ), overweight (23-27.4 kg/m2 ), or obese (≥27.5 kg/m2 ); waist circumference (WC) ≥80 cm for women and ≥90 cm for men was taken to indicate abdominal obesity. Changes in weight and WC were calculated from baseline to each follow-up survey. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CKD were estimated. To estimate the risk for incident CKD, associations were examined in patients without CKD at baseline (n = 881). Over 7 years of follow-up, obesity (RR 1.48; 95% CI 1.08-2.04; P = 0.015) and high WC (RR 1.23; 95% CI 1.00-1.52; P = 0.049) were associated with CKD after adjusting for covariates. Among participants without CKD at baseline, those who gained >10% weight (RR 1.43; 95% CI 1.07-1.90; P = 0.015) and in whom WC increased >15% (RR 1.37; 95% CI 1.01-1.85; P = 0.045) had a higher risk of incident CKD than those who remained stable (±5% changes in weight or WC). Diabetic patients who are obese and those with excessive central fat were more likely to have CKD. Large weight gain (>10%) and increases in WC (>15%) independently predicted incident CKD.

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