O2 Mortality following elective and emergency colorectal surgery in patients with cirrhosis: a population-based cohort study

Abstract

Abstract Introduction This population based cohort study, aimed to quantify the risk of mortality following colectomy in patients with cirrhosis by urgency of surgery and stage of cirrhosis. Method Linked primary and secondary-care electronic healthcare data from England was used to identify all patients undergoing colectomy from January 2001 to December 2017. Patients were classified into three cohorts, non-cirrhotics, compensated cirrhotics and decompensated cirrhosis and followed up for 90-days from the date of surgery. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of postoperative mortality. Result A total of 36380 eligible patients were included. Of these, 248(0.7%) had liver cirrhosis and 70% had compensated disease. The proportion undergoing a colectomy who had a diagnosis of cirrhosis increased from 0.40% in 2001 to 1.07% in 2017 (χ2(16, N = 36380)=50.53, P < 0.0001). Following elective colectomy, 90-day case fatality was 4% in non-cirrhotics , 7% in compensated cirrhotics and 10% in decompensated cirrhotics. Following emergency colectomy 90-day case fatality was higher, it was 16% in non-cirrhotics, 35% in compensated cirrhotics and 41% in decompensated cirrhotics. This corresponded to an adjusted 2-fold (HR 2.57(95% CI 1.75–3.76)) and 3-fold (3.43(95% CI 2.02–5.83)) increased mortality rate in compensated and decompensated cirrhotics respectively compared to non-cirrhotics following emergency colectomy. Conclusion Over the study period, the proportion of patients undergoing colectomy who had liver cirrhosis increased to 1 in every 100 colectomies. The 90-day case fatality rates were high in all patients with cirrhosis in both emergency and elective settings but the greatest mortality risk was seen in those with decompensation following emergency surgery. Take-home Message 1 in 100 colectomy procedures are in patients with cirrhosis. These cirrhotic patients have a very high risk of postoperative mortality, especially, emergency colectomy in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.