Abstract

Abstract Aim Inguinal hernia (IH) belongs to the most common surgical pathology worldwide. Approximately, one third of patients are asymptomatic. Watchful waiting (WW) has been regarded as a justifiable treatment option, but doubts still exist since high crossover (CO) rates to surgery may occur. The aim of this study is to assess the CO rates after 13-year follow-up of our randomized controlled trial (RCT). Material and Methods In our original study, 496 men with an asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic IH were randomly assigned to elective repair or WW. A retrospective review was conducted of patients initially assigned to WW. Primary outcome was CO rate to surgery. Secondary outcomes included reason for crossing over and time between initial randomisation and the CO to surgery. Results In the original RCT, 95 of 262 WW patients electively crossed over to surgery (35.4%) after 32.9 months. Currently, 212 of the 262 (81.0%) WW patients were reviewed, and 133/212 (62.7%) crossed over to surgery. Median follow-up was 13 years (range, 8-15 years). Mean time to CO was 35.2 months SD (40.8). Motivations for crossing over to surgery were predominantly due to progression of symptoms (83.5%), and in 8 (3.8%) cases due to an emergency event. Conclusions In the presented population, WW on the long-term remains a safe strategy, saving one third of patients an operation, although CO to surgery will likely occur. Insights into the natural course of untreated inguinal hernia that are valuable during patient counseling can be offered in the form of long-term CO rate due to progression of symptoms.

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