Abstract

Abstract Study question What was the impact on treatment age in Japan after a subsidy policy change that set age limits for assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment? Summary answer The national policy introducing age limits in the subsidy may have promoted ART treatment among younger women. What is known already Japan has provided partial subsidies for ART treatment since 2004. To promote treatment at a younger age, the government introduced a subsidy policy in 2016 that set age limits: up to six treatment cycles for women younger than 40 years of age; and up to three cycles for women between 40 and 42 years old. However, two out of 47 prefectures continued to provide subsidies to women aged 43 and older. Study design, size, duration We conducted a time series analysis of the utilisation of ART before and after the introduction of age limits, using data from the Japanese national ART registry from 2012 to 2016. Participants/materials, setting, methods We described the number of fresh and frozen treatment cycles, comparing the number between 45 prefectures that followed the national policy change (hereafter, prefectures with age limits) and two prefectures that did not (hereafter, prefectures without age limits). Ordinary least squares regression models were used to assess the impact of the policy change by prefecture on the number of ART cycles by women of different ages. Main results and the role of chance The overall number of fresh and frozen ART cycles continuously increased in all age groups from 2012 to 2016. Meanwhile, the number of fresh ART cycles among women aged ≤ 36 and 37-39 years in 2016 increased from the previous year by + 4.0% and +1.8% in prefectures with age limits, whereas it decreased in prefectures without age limits: -3.1% and -2.3%, respectively. The number of fresh ART cycles among women aged 40-42 and 43-45 years in prefectures with age limits in 2016 changed by + 1.5% and -0.1%, respectively, whereas it increased considerably in prefectures without age limits by + 9.6% and +65.4%, respectively. Similar changes were shown for the frozen cycles. After controlling for underlying time trends and prefectural characteristics, the policy change significantly increased the number of fresh and frozen ART treatment cycles among women aged ≤ 36 years and decreased the treatment cycles of women aged 40-42 years. Limitations, reasons for caution We evaluated the change observed in the year of the policy change and could not assess longer-term trends. Additionally, unobserved factors might have contributed to the change in treatment numbers. Wider implications of the findings The introduction of a policy to set an age limit for the partial ART subsidy resulted in a significant increase in treatment even among age groups younger than the boundary groups. The policy change might have conveyed educational messages regarding the benefits of early treatment. Trial registration number not applicable

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