Abstract

Seismic precursors prior to the failure of rocks are essential for probing the nucleation process and mitigating hazards. However, such precursory events before large landslides are rarely reported possibly due to the lack of near-source observations. The 2017 Nuugaatsiaq, Greenland landslide that was preceded by an abundance of small earthquakes and captured by a local seismic station is a notable exception and offers us a valuable opportunity to investigate how a large landslide initiated. Prior work suggests that accelerated creeping plays an important role during the landslide nucleation process. However, by analyzing the temporal evolution of the waveform similarities, waveform amplitudes, and inter-event times of the seismic precursors, we find that the Nuugaatsiaq landslide was very likely triggered by a series of accelerated and migratory small earthquakes approaching the nucleation area of the upcoming landslide, thus providing important insights into the failure initiation of massive landslides.

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