Abstract

As the horizon of nuclear energy expands with the advent of small modular reactors, Generation IV reactors, and fusion reactors, there is a growing perspective that the licensing process could benefit from a more comprehensive approach. Moving beyond traditional deterministic and probabilistic risk assessment analyses might pave the way for a novel safety analysis paradigm propelled by the increasing computational power at our disposal.This paper explores different methodologies that can improve the outcomes of nuclear safety analysis. These range from uncertainty quantification techniques, aimed at enhancing the precision of safety margins, to deploying dynamic event trees by driving system code simulations, capturing the potential evolutions of severe accidents. These methodologies offer a better understanding of the management and consequences of nuclear accident scenarios, significantly improving the accuracy and efficiency of safety predictions compared to traditional methods.Specific case studies illustrate the practical application of these advanced techniques, demonstrating substantial improvements in predicting and managing the dynamics of severe accidents. These findings underscore the effectiveness of these methodologies in enhancing risk assessment capabilities and informing decision-making processes for nuclear safety management. The paper also emphasizes the importance of adaptability and continuous evolution, a call for action to address emerging nuclear safety concerns and highlights the utility of advanced tools like RAVEN.

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